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Economic scenario generation

Economic scenarios for asset and liability analysis.

GALM Economic Scenario Generator creates connected economic paths for cash flow, asset, and liability analysis. Define the question, inspect the assumptions, and work with the resulting scenario set.

Start with the economic conditions you need to examine.

Choose a horizon and frame the market question. The GALM Economic Scenario Generator creates joint paths for modeled factors such as yields, credit spreads, equities, property, and inflation.

Your team can use those paths alongside its own projected cash flows and valuation models. Scenario outputs require review in the context of their assumptions and intended use.

GALM Economic Scenarios workspace

Set up a scenario run

Soborro GALM Economic Scenarios Overview Series Model Results
Product overview GALM Economic Scenarios   |   Client ID 100025
ECONOMIC SCENARIOS / DRAFT

USD multi-asset

Define the economic paths for your analysis.

Setup ready
01 / SERIES

Market series

Edit series

8 selected series.

US Treasuries US TIPS Corporates Equity Private equity Private credit Real estate
Data count 16,130
Maturities 3m, 6m, 1y, 2y, 5y, 7y, 10y, 20y, 30y
Data range 1962-01-02 to 2026-07-31
Transformation Level
02 / MODEL

Scenario settings

Edit model
Horizon 10 years
Frequency Annual
Paths 10,000
Dependence Student t copula
Dimension reduction By factor
Time series Automatic ARMA
03 / REVIEW AND RUN

Generate scenarios

Review the series and model setup before submitting a run.

Run scenarios
Access GALM Economic Scenarios

What it supports

Keep the scenarios connected to your models.

01

Economic paths

Follow how modeled factors move together over time.

02

Model integration

Use scenario output in asset, liability, or cash flow models.

03

Reviewable assumptions

Examine the setup and scenario behavior before drawing conclusions from model output.

Need portfolio analysis within the same workflow?

Portfolio Risk Profiler uses GALM economic scenarios to examine a portfolio or proposed allocation across economic paths.

Explore Portfolio Risk Profiler

Research example

See the approach in context

Our Nigerian pension fund study examines modeled asset portfolios under alternative interest-rate regimes.

Read the analysis

Have a question about your use case?

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